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The Next 100 Years

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st CenturyThe Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

by George Friedman

George Friedman's book builds on the recent history of the world to predict what the next one hundred years will be like. Civilization, he claims, is at the dawn of a "new era". That is a claim that is difficult to refute, for you can look back sixty or one hundred years ago and see that we were also at the dawn of a "new era". The book reminds me of last night's weather forecast. The immediate future, say the next day, looks fairly clear but once you reach a week or more in the future the variables overwhelm the ability to predict with accuracy. Substitute decade for day and several decades for week and you have the context within which this book attempts to predict the future. The farther into the future one goes the more that the prediction approaches science fiction, or at least begins to lose clarity. The story is fascinating, but the further I read the less interest I had in what we will do since I did not believe that we will do anything like what is described. Do I know what will happen a century hence? No, and this book provides some provocative suggestions, but the author does not know what will happen either.

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